The article is a overview of the RAND Corporation paper “Overextending and Unbalancing Russia. Assessing the Impact of Cost-Imposing Options. Nonviolent Ways the United States Could Exploit Russian Vulnerabilities”. The overview was written by Robin Stowe and appeared on several social media outlets, for example at Live Journal (https://oboguev.livejournal.com/8123922.html) (in both English and Russian). If only RAND Corporation instead created papers with titles like “Cooperating with Russia for the betterment of humanity”…
Kudos to Russian Baza for bringing discovering the overview last year. Overview is also available at our Telegram channel.
If you still think the war in Ukraine wasn’t premeditated – read this: a U.S. blueprint to drag Russia into a costly war, published by RAND Corporation in April 2019.
RAND isn’t a blog or a fringe group, it’s an official, state-funded think tank that advises the Pentagon, CIA, State Department, and NATO.
It designs wars, regime change and psychological warfare. RAND turns U.S. power into global control.
What the document says (verbatim):
“The steps we examine would not have either defense or deterrence as their prime purpose… Rather, they are conceived of as elements in a campaign designed to unbalance the adversary, causing Russia to compete in domains or regions where the United States has a competitive advantage.”
Translation: how to push Russia into costly traps.
1. Fueling war in Ukraine:
“Providing lethal aid to Ukraine would exploit Russia’s greatest point of external vulnerability.”
Translation: Arm Ukraine to provoke a Russian military response – and trap Moscow in a costly, prolonged conflict.
2. Economic warfare:
“Increasing sanctions and expanding U.S. energy production could harm Russia’s economy.”
Translation: Strangle Russia’s economy through sanctions while flooding the global market with American oil and gas to undercut Russian exports.
3. Destabilising from within:
“Encouraging domestic protests or unrest could stress the Russian regime.”
“Diminishing Russian influence in Syria could undermine its foreign policy goals and prestige.”
Translation: Use protests, dissent, and foreign policy setbacks to weaken the Russian government from the inside out.
4. Cutting Russia off from Europe:
“Reducing Russian gas exports by encouraging European energy diversification would hurt the Russian economy.”
Translation: Convince Europe to cut off Russian gas – crash one of Russia’s largest income streams.
5. Stretching Russia Thin in Syria
“Increasing support to Syrian rebels could jeopardize other U.S. policy priorities… but might raise costs for Russia.”
Translation: Arm and fund militants in Syria – make it harder and costlier for Russia to stabilize Assad’s government.
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