Starting in April 2014, I started a topic under the same name in the Politics & Society section of Bitcointalk forum. There were some telling signs of warmongering in the air. And those signs are only getting clearer and stronger. I present here a consolidated and expanded version of my posts in that thread.
But first, here are a few links on this topic that I came across – it’s not only me, who feels that the war is in the air:
A few days ago I watched a 2-year old Russian documentary, commemorating the 200th anniversary of the war of 1812, about the information war, waged before and during the French invasion of Russia in 1812. The Film is called “The War of 1812. The First information War”.
The film revolves around the report by Polish General Michal Sokolnitsky that was presented to Napoleon on the 10th of February 1812 and discovered in French military archives in 1996. The report details how Napoleon should proceed conquering and dividing Russia, how to use locals. The plans for compartmentalisation of Russia were well-defined. South-Western Russia (including Crimea), would become French state of Napoleonida, with Poland expanded South and several French or Polish-governed counties created as buffers. Napoleon went along with the plans, with the slight alteration – he intended to rally Poles and use them as the frontal strike force, commonly known as cannon Fodder.
What struck me the most was the bit that said that Napoleon should ensure setting Ukraine and Russia head to head against each other, and should bribe Don Cossacks, as they hate Russians. Napoleon discovered belatedly that this was not the case.
Napoleon, prior to the military campaign, ran a massive information/propaganda war in Europe, centralising control of most of the newspapers in his hands, and portraying Russia as someone on the verge of conquering the whole Europe, so it was only right for him, Napoleon, to strike pre-emptively first. At the same time, and to that end, he invented the fake Testament of Peter the Great. This “testament” was subsequently used prior to invasion of Russia in WWI and WWII.
I am seeing similar patterns now: An uprising of Russophobic press in Western mass media, depicting Russia as an aggressor, poised to take over the Europe. When passing through Great Britain the other week, I saw a cover of one of the magazines, showing a stylized map of Russia as a red bear with gaping maw, swallowing Ukraine, and the big captions title “INSATIABLE!”. Next will come (or already coming) calls to isolate, sanction and pre-emptively strike Russia, “for the good of Europe”.
Here is a report on that “Insatiable” cover
Before 1941 there were also “worried” calls that Soviet Union has too many troops on its Western borders, and that it should pull back. This time, it seems Putin is not as stupid as Stalin was. At the same time NATO pulls its military closer to Russia, relocating more and more troops to its old and newly conquered bases in Baltics, Poland, Yugoslavia (Black Sea), and Georgia.
It feels like a great war is in the air and NATO is pushing hard for a trigger, seemingly having slated Ukraine to play such role. This would explain why NATO consequently ignores Russia’s calls for de-escalation of the tension in Ukraine and demands that US brings their puppets in Kiev to heel.
If I start seeing mentions of the Testament of Peter the Great in the Western media, then I will know for sure that war is only a few months or weeks away…
I came across an interesting article to this effect (it seems to be Google-translated from Polish):
Cancelled … Napoleonida of Donetsk Oblast and Crimea (WebArchived version as the original disappeared after the 12th of April 2021)
Grey – Give to Poland
Red – The Duchy of Poltava
Green – The Duchy of Chernigov
Yellow – The State of Napoleonida
Biege – Didn’t partition
I then wrote a reply expanding on perception of Russia through a Russophobe’s glasses:
First, regarding Crimea and Putin’s popularity, you put the cart in front of the horse. The popularity ratings rose after Putin defended Crimea and Russian interests there. People still remember drunkard Yeltsin’s lack of action there, when Crimea voted for independence and asked Russia for support and reunification in 1990’s.
Before I answer further, as I said before, I am Russian, but I live in the West and see how Russophobe atmosphere is being imposed. Balthazar is from Ukraine, so though I don’t know his nationality, for all intents and purposes, he’s Russian.
Now, to the question of hatred. If you go to Russia, you’ll see little hatred. You’ll see friendliness and willingness to help. The concept of hatred is being touted most in the Western media. What you take for hatred, is defensiveness. Historically, each time Russia started to get demonised, when Russophobic ideas were starting to get mainstream in the West, it was a signal preceding an invasion of Russia. The more known cases is 1812, 1914, 1941. So forgive Russians for not forgetting their history.
What happens next is that Russia closes down, takes a defensive stance, seeing Russophobic rhetoric from outside, people unite, expecting a physical attack. This is then further used by the West to show Russians as “barbaric” in Napoleon’s and Hitler’s terms, a nation that needs to be cleaned out or subjugated for it’s own and Europe’s good. (People tend to forget afterwards that for example “civilized” Napoleonic army left Moscow in ruins in 1812, while “barbaric” Russians in 1814 behaved cordially and with honour in conquered Paris.)
Russia tries to be open, friendly (Olympics, Eurovision (read the lyrics of the song from Russia – it resonates deeply with how Russians want the world to see them)), but each time they are slammed down, and as a result close up.
Now to the question of gay. As another poster said, no one in Russia cares what they do in their private life and that was the state of affairs until the West started “protecting” their rights. All this publicity is doing them a disservice. First the law is not “anti-gay”, but “anti-commercial of gay propaganda directed at children”, often paid for by Western NGOs. Now, what happens. In the light of what I wrote above, when the West suddenly starts to demonise Russia on yet another front as “anti-gay”, people, who previously didn’t care what gay did, suddenly see that as yet another attack against Russia. Suddenly the gay guy next door, who is an OK bloke is seen as a hand of the West in its attempt to destabilise Russia. Suddenly people turn on the gay – some verbally, while the more extremist factions, physically. This gets touted in the Western media as further proof of Russia being anti-gay, and generally anti-World, and the vicious cycle get reinforced.
What I wrote above had been said many times before, but patience is a finite resource. I think I have more of it than most, and even my patience is running thin. One can write only so many polite responses refuting the misconceptions, before you take the national way of dealing with external assaults, by becoming passive aggressive and telling the world to shut up and mind its own business, while closing in yourself (and if the word decides to attack, you take to the arms).
The most known saying in Russia, attributed to Aleksandr Nevskij in 1240: “He who comes to Russia with a sword will die by the sword”. He allegedly said it in the context of releasing war prisoners, telling them “Go to the foreign part and tell everyone that Russia is alive. Let everyone come as guests to us without fear. Yet anyone who comes to us with a sword will die by the sword. The Russian land has stood on this pillar, and will continue to stand on it.” The historical accuracy of this statement of the context can be disputed, however the core meaning is very much valid today.
Having grown in the West I see the need to be more verbal in addressing the problems, in trying to bring forth understanding, so as to prevent conflicts.
The years before the Crimean War of 1854 saw some of the same russophobic propaganda as we see today.
First, on to another small historical tour. This time to 1854, when the Crimean War began with the invasion by French and British troops. The following is a translation from the following Wikipedia article:
A few years before the Crimean War (in 1848), Karl Marx, who himself actively published own works in Western press, wrote that for a German newspaper to save liberal reputation, it was necessary to “timely to show hatred for all Russian”.
Engels in several articles in the British press published in the March-April 1853, accused Russia of an intention to capture Constantinople, although it was well known that the Russian ultimatum of February 1853 contained no territorial claims against Turkey. In another article (April 1853), Marx and Engels blamed Serbs for not wanting to read books printed with Latin letters in their own language in the West, and read only the books in the Cyrillic alphabet, printed in Russia; and rejoiced that an “anti-Russian Progressive Party” finally appeared in Serbia.
[ It is ironic (or maybe not, given Lenin’s own hatred for all that is Russian, that Marx’ and Engels’ works became the cornerstone books for the Soviet Union’ communism – what better way to bestow harm on Russian people.) ]
In the same 1853 the British liberal newspaper Daily News, assured its readers that Christians in the Ottoman Empire enjoyed greater religious freedom than in the Russian Orthodox and Catholic Austria.
In 1854 the London “Times” wrote: “It would be good to bring Russia back to the ploughing of internal land, to drive the Muscovites deep into the forests and steppes.” In the same year D.Rassel, leader of the House of Commons and the head of the Liberal Party, said: “We have to pry the bear’s teeth … While his fleet and naval arsenal on the Black Sea is not destroyed, Constantinople will not be safe and there will not be any peace in Europe”
[ Sounds familiar, eh? ]
Russian poet Fyodor Tyutchev wrote the following as a response to all this:
Long ago was it possible to foresee that this rabid hatred against Russia that with each passing year was more and more kindled in the West, will once escape from the leash. This moment is upon us … This is the moment when entire West came to show his denial of Russia and block her path to the future.
And just a thought…
1854 – Fierce battles to keep Crimea.
1944, 90 years later – fierce battles to free Crimea from the German occupation.
1954, 10 years later – Khrusjov just hands Crimea over without asking Russia.
2014, 60 years later, Crimea is returned, without battles this time (unless NATO is planning something).
In June the stand-off escalated, with multiple cases of Ukrainian military staging provocations on Russian territory, such as driving in on APCs or shelling with artillery. This is how the pre-WWII state was on the German-Soviet borders, with Soviet forces being under strict order not to respond to any provocations from the German side. Here is the latest one.
Newly, some congressmen, associated with American Israel Public Affairs Committee, AIPAC launched a senate bill proposal, titled S.2277 – Russian Aggression Prevention Act of 2014. It should be read in Orwellian doublespeak.
After a long range of artillery shelling provocations, today so the first death on Russian soil.
Now with the latest False Flag – Shooting of Malaysian Flight MH-17, we are one step closer to WWIII. Here is a very good analytical article by Lada Ray: Urgent: Fast Track to WWIII? “USA’s Goal Is to Overturn Putin.”
Does Russia (And Humanity) Have A Future? – By Paul Craig Roberts (The Russian government and Europe need to look beyond Washington’s propaganda, because the reality is much worst Does Russia (And Humanity) Have A Future?)
Russian Aggression Prevention Act Seems Designed to Provoke Russian Aggression
Putin-Vertrauter: „Es wird Krieg in Europa geben“ (Putin’s confidant: “There will be war in Europe”)
World War 3: why Russia and Syria are being targeted